INTRODUCTION
We are living in a time like no other that we know. People are having problems surviving. Homes and jobs are being lost on a daily basis and in increasing numbers. Credit has tightened up to a point of being non-existent. Most Americans have been left in a state of disbelief and ignorance about how we ended up in this situation. Well, I have put this article together to share my view of how all of this has happened.
In order for us to understand our current economic environment, we must have some idea of the factors which contributed to this dire situation. These factors include predatory lending practices, subprime lending, securitized mortgages, access to easy credit, and excessive consumer debt.
WHAT IS PREDATORY LENDING?
Predatory lending practices focus on who benefits most in a loan transaction. If the borrower does not benefit, then such lack of benefit could turn a legal loan into a predatory one.
Of course, some would say that any loan is predatory as the borrower always seems to pay high interest rates and fees. However, credit, or being given money or something of value now and being allowed to pay later, can be and is of great benefit to those who understand how it works and use it wisely.
The types of loans and practices to which I refer as predatory are those types which include:
- Fraudulent practices that conceal the facts of the borrower’s obligations and/or income
- Steering a borrower to a high-cost loan when they could qualify for a lower-cost loan
- Making a loan that the borrower cannot afford to repay
- Making a loan to a borrower that provides no actual benefit for the borrower
- Unfairly stripping a borrower’s real estate equity through excessive points and fees or imposing overpriced, unnecessary add-ons such as lump sum credit life insurance as a condition of a loan
- Flipping loans by inducing repeated refinancing, without benefit to the borrower, in order to generate fees
- Changing credit card payment due dates
- Holding checks to charge late fees
- Double cycle billing
As a general rule, credit is a great equalizer and tremendous aid to a capitalistic economy. With the advent of the industrial revolution, when factories were used to mass produce goods, there was a large amount of goods, but only a few people who had money to buy them. So, companies which produced, distributed, and/or sold goods began allowing purchases with installment credit. This process created a circular flow of money. Businesses had capital to produce goods, workers got paid for producing goods, consumers could buy the goods, and more goods could be produced.
The main problem with lending is when the lender or its agents become greedy and put their interests above the borrower. When such happens, we usually see the above-referenced predatory practices.
WHAT OTHER FACTORS CONTRIBUTED TO TODAY’S ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT?
In order to understand the impact that predatory lending practices had on our current economic condition, we must take a glimpse at what happened in our country from 2001 through the present concerning subprime lending, the securitization of mortgages, and easy access to credit.
Melinda Fulmer, a writer for the MSN Real Estate section, sheds some light on this topic in her December 9, 2009 article Boom to Doom: The Decade in Housing. She stated:
“… perhaps what this decade will be remembered for most is its excess: lenders making far too many ill-conceived loans and then selling them off to investors inside and outside the United States, and consumers piling debt on top of debt - all resulting in a record-shattering tsunami of foreclosures….”
The convergence of predatory loans, subprime mortgages and loans, investments in mortgage-backed securities, and excessive consumer debt created the current economic environment in which we exist.
In order to appreciate how such happened, let us consider the past and current banking models.
Change of Banking Landscape
Banks are in the business of selling debt. Historically, they take depositors’ money and then loan it to individuals and businesses at higher rates of interest than they give the depositors. Most of their transactions were local or regional in nature. Where they were located was the community they served. The loans they gave for real estate and business were for the real estate and businesses in their neighborhood. A borrower would make his or her payment to the local bank which gave the loans. The profits banks made from these transactions were limited.
In the 1970’s, the landscape of banking started to change. The introduction of credit cards proved to be a gold mine for banks and credit card companies. They soon realized that they had a product for which they could charge high interest, which they could process efficiently, and with which they could reach a national market.
The most important lesson banks and credit card companies learned from introducing the credit card was that if you give someone credit they will probably use it.
In addition to credit cards, the 1970s brought a period of deregulation of the banking industry. Because of the depression in the 1930s, there had been laws or regulations put in place to avoid further depressing the economy. The 1970s was a time when those regulations started to get lifted. So, banks and other financial institutions could figure out ways to increase their profits, i.e. higher fees on overdraft, non-bank ATMs, fees for limited number of transactions, etc.
Securitization of Mortgages
Around the same time, modern securitization of mortgages began with the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae) issuing the first publicly traded mortgage backed security in 1970.
A way of describing the securitization process is when a lender gives loans to homeowners and then sells groups or bundles of the loans to investors who then sell smaller interests to other investors through ownership of stocks or bonds. In short, it dilutes your mortgage by spreading the right to collect your principal and interest payments among many investors, who own stocks or bonds related to many other mortgages.
A study in December 2008 by the Ohio State University Kirwan Institute quoted an observation made by Christ Peterson, a securization expert and legal scholar. He noted that:
“…with these new pass-through investment vehicles, investors could hold a share of large (and diversified) numbers of mortgages insured by the government in the case of Ginnie Mae, or guaranteed by the large stable government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) in the case of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (who also began securitizing shortly thereafter). Because the agencies now guaranteed the principal and interest income of their securities even when mortgagers defaulted, investors saw the securities as a low risk investment even without the assurances of a rating organization such as Standard and Poor’s or Moody’s.”
The study further noted that the private sector’s ability to securitize separately from GSEs grew after 1975, when rating organizations began rating securities.
In addition to the backdrop and glimpse of how predatory loans, investments in mortgage-backed securities, and the availability of consumer credit have evolved in the last few decades, we need to also consider subprime mortgages and loans to fully understand their combined impact on our economic environment.
Subprime Mortgages and Loans
Loans are made based on the creditworthiness of the borrower. The creditor determines what risk of default there is in making a loan so that it can factor the price or cost of the loan into the interest rate and other terms. If you have good credit, not late with your payments, and have a good income, then you could get a prime loan or one which is considered “A” paper. If your credit is not perfect or good enough for an A paper loan, or your income is not high enough or stable, then you would probably qualify for a subprime loan.
Subprime loans are graded from A- to below. Your grade is usually determined by your FICO (Fair Isaac and Company) score and income/employment. The lower your score and less stable your income, the lower grade you would get. The lower grade you have, the higher your interest rate and more burdensome your loan terms.
Since a person with a low credit grade is more likely to default or not pay the loan, that person will have a loan which requires upfront fees and higher interest rates so that the lender can offset the risk of lending to that person. There were only certain creditors who would give subprime loans, as there was too much risk of loss associated with them.
Subprime loans were initially used for credit cards and automobile loans. However, as things changed in our economy, subprime loans were offered more in housing. In the 1980s, three laws were enacted which allowed lenders to change their practices. The first was the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act (DIDMCA) in 1980. It allowed banks to charge more than the interest rate limits imposed by states. The second was the Alternative Mortgage Transaction Parity Act (AMTPA) which allowed the use of variable interest rates and balloon payments. This law was passed in 1982. Finally, and most importantly, the Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA) was passed into law. It allowed the interest deduction on mortgages and prohibited the deduction of interest on consumer loans. Consequently, this increased the demand for mortgage debt, as homeowners could deduct their mortgage interest.
Subprime lending did not take off, however, until the mid-1990s, when interest rates were raising and the number of prime loan originations dropped. Banks and other financial institutions started to offer loans to the more risky borrowers based on subprime loan terms.
Though these changes increased the volume of loan originations in the 1990s, it was not until the new millennium that our economic conditions significantly changed and subprime lending began to play a more prominent role in our economy.
Changes in the New Millennium
In 2000, Chris Larsen lobbied the California Assembly and testified before Congress to require that consumers be able to obtain their credit scores from the credit reporting bureaus. Borrowers were told that their credit scores were low and that such resulted in the denial of their loan application, and/or the terms which were being offered. Borrowers were not told what their credit scores were or how that number was determined. Mr. Larsen’s victorious movement enabled borrowers to obtain their score and to figure out how to improve them so that they could get the best terms possible.
The terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001 caused the stock market to collapse. The lack of confidence of the American public in investing in the stock market was reflected in the low trading volume and stock prices. However, housing prices had not been affected by the attacks, as housing prices remained stable and, in fact, were increasing. Consequently, the housing market became a possible area for investors to focus their attention.
The period of 2002 through 2007 brought a flurry of advertising and marketing campaigns along with investment strategies which all surrounded the housing market and easy access to credit.
Credit card companies and banks began their balance transfer, 0% or low Annual Percentage Rate (APR) and no annual fee campaigns. Mortgage companies encouraged consumers to roll their credit card and other consumer debt into their mortgages, so that they could get the mortgage interest tax deduction. Most homeowners either refinanced their mortgages or took out home equity lines of credit (HELOC). Though fixed interest rate loans were usually the type of loan homeowners would get, the new millennium introduced loan products which were seldom used. These products included, but were not limited to, adjustable rate mortgages (ARM), negative amortization loans (also known as Option ARMs), and interest only mortgages. Along with these loans came the vehicles to entice people to apply for them, such as low introductory interest rates, stated income loans, and no documentation loans.
For investors, a best of both worlds scenario presented itself. They could participate in the housing market’s high times by investing in stocks and bonds which had bundled the loans from the banks giving them. In many instances, banks and originating lenders were paid the full amount of the principal of the loan when they sold it to investors and also received additional forms of compensation for selling loans. On the other hand, investors were purchasing an investment which brought guaranteed income from the principal and interest payments to which they were entitled as owners of the stocks or bonds. Also, the mortgage-backed securities were also guaranteed by the government (Ginny Mae) and/or a government-sponsored agency (Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae).
As the selling of mortgages to investors proved to be profitable, more and more money from private investment houses or firms, such as Lehman Brothers, started to pour into the market. Greater incentives were offered to banks and loan originators. With the greater incentives came a relaxing of or elimination of underwriting standards for the loans. As subprime loans increased in volume, the risk of these loans defaulting was insured by AIG, one of the world’s largest insurance companies. Banks and loan originators were giving mortgage brokers who brought borrowers to them premiums on top of their commissions.
How the Combined Affect of these Factors Created Our Economic Environment
The stage is now set for what was to come. Lenders had investors who would buy all of the loans they could generate. Brokers and loan officers were assured high commissions if they had borrowers. Investors had an investment product which provided a guaranteed return. The more loans which were given, the more money everyone made.
The greed of many of the lenders got the best of them. This led to giving loans which should not have been given. Marketing and advertising campaigns had most Americans believing that they could afford to own a home and that they could qualify for the loans to get them. Loan officers and mortgage brokers convinced potential borrowers that they qualified for the loans by qualifying them with the initial or teaser low introductory interest rates, and telling them that by the time the adjustable rate mortgages increased that they would be able to refinance the loan and get a lower rate or a fixed loan. Of course, this made sense since the housing prices were continuing to go up. If the borrower could not qualify for the loan based on the initial interest rate, then the broker only needed to increase the borrower’s income on the mortgage application to make the numbers right. Lenders had stated income loans, so that all the borrower needed to do was to state his/her income without proving such. Most of these loans had subprime features. This created an environment in which just about anyone could get a loan.
The problems started when the adjustable rate mortgages began to adjust. Those borrowers who qualified based on the initial, low teaser interest rate now needed to make payments in a much larger amount. When they could not, a wave of mortgage defaults began to occur. The initial wave of defaults in 2006 related to subprime mortgages and those loans which had the interest rates adjust. These were the 2002 -2003 loans which had 3 year adjustment periods.
As more and more loans defaulted, investors in the mortgage-backed stocks and bonds began to lose confidence. Investments slowed to a stop. Investors looked to the government agencies for payment under the guarantee and to AIG for the insurance against defaults. Lehman Brothers was over-invested in the subprime market and had no one to purchase the loans it bought. It was not bailed out by the government and eventually closed its doors. AIG and the government agencies were bailed out by the government. The Obama Administration created the Troubled Assets Recovery Program (TARP) to help certain financial institutions.
If the loans were allowed to default on the scale which the early numbers were indicating, then such would lead to ruining the American economy. Instead of paying under the guarantee, the government insisted that lenders allow homeowners to modify their loans.
The problem with loan modifications is that the government has not taken into consideration the interests of all of those who must agree to a modification. The primary component is the investor who now owns the mortgage. It is not just one investor, but in many instances hundreds of them who have an interest in the mortgage. The investors must agree to take less than they original agreed upon when they purchased the investment. If they agree to a modification, then they must pay someone to do it. These glitches have caused loan modifications to move at a snail’s pace.
A chain reaction occurred once the defaults started. The borrowers who had defaulted with their mortgages were also defaulting with their consumer credit. With the slowing of mortgage loan activity, there was no need for the large number of mortgage brokers, loan processors, and others involved with generating loans. No money was being borrowed to payoff credit card debt or to remodel one’s home. Accordingly, those who worked in the construction industry started to get laid off and businesses related to home improvement began to close. With increasing unemployment and business closures, there were more defaults with mortgages and consumer credit. As a result, banks stopped loaning money, began decreasing credit limits to what current balances were, and started exercising their right to have the consumers pay at default rates, if they were late with or missed a payment.
CONCLUSION
The predatory lending practices of lenders, the securitization of mortgages, subprime lending, and excessive consumer debt have all contributed to the described chain reaction which has lead to the current economic environment in which we exist.
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